0% Novak Djokovic
100% Dominic Thiem
Win Probability

Recap

687

D Thiem pulled off the upset to defeat N Djokovic. D Thiem entered the match as the underdog, with a 32% chance to win before the match started.

From the outset, D Thiem refused to go away, chipping away at N Djokovic's lead until D Thiem took their first lead during the middle stretches of the match. N Djokovic never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the match ended, D Thiem had earned the upset.