100% Paula Kania
0% Jessica Pegula
Win Probability

Recap

2,043

Kania pulled off the upset to defeat Pegula. Kania entered the match as the underdog, with a 36% chance to win before the match started.

From the outset, Kania refused to go away, chipping away at Pegula's lead until Kania took their first lead during the middle stretches of the match. Pegula never recovered after losing the lead, and by the time the match ended, Kania had earned the upset.