Mississippi State surprised Louisville, mounting an impressive comeback to win the game. Louisville seemed to be in command, with a 83% chance to win during the middle stretches of the game, but no lead proved large enough.
Mississippi State entered the game as the decided underdog, with a 28% chance to win before the game started. Louisville led for most of the game, but Mississippi State seized the lead for good toward the end of the game. The game featured many momentum swings, with a total of 9 probabilistic lead changes